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France snap elections: Exit Polls show Le Pen's party falling short of outright majority

France snap elections: Exit Polls show Le Pen's party falling short of outright majority

Photos of Emmanuel Macron (Left), Marine Le Pen (top right), and Jordan Bardella (bottom right).

France's tense election campaign reached its final pause on Saturday (July 6),before Sunday's second round runoff amid expectations of potential stalemate and stagnation for this major European power.

Final opinion polls released on Friday indicated that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) is unlikely to secure an outright majority in the National Assembly.

ButPresident Emmanuel Macron's strategic gamble to prompt a clear choice between his centrist policies and the polarising extremes of the left and right seems to have faltered.

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With no clear ruling majority in sight, Macron faces the prospect of navigating the remaining three years of his presidency under uncertain political conditions.

Polls by Ipsos and Ifop suggest that the anti-immigrant, eurosceptic RN might win between 170 and 210 seats in the National Assembly, falling short of the 289 seats required for an absolute majority.

The Ipsos Talan poll for Le Monde, Radio France, and France Televisions forecasts the RN narrowly leading the left-wing New Popular Front, which is projected to secure between 145 and 175 seats. In contrast, Macron's centrist allies, who held 250 seats in the outgoing parliament, are predicted to win only 118 to 148 seats.

"Either the RN wins an absolute majority and I can, from Sunday, embark on my project to rebuild...or the country is blocked,"Le Pen said.

On the other hand, Prime Minister GabrielAttal has pledged to continue in his role "as long as necessary".

Macron, whose term lasts until April 2027, now faces the possibility of cohabitating with political adversaries.

The prospect of France potentially forming its first far-right government since World War II has alarmed European allies.

Even if the RN falls short, as current polling suggests, France will navigate uncharted political territory as Paris prepares to host the Olympic Games.

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Meanwhile, in response to the far-right surge seen in the first round of voting on June 30, centrist and left-wing parties have formed second-round coalitions to curb Le Pen's momentum. Le Pen has criticised these alliances as attempts to undermine the people's will by creating a "single party" to protect the political elite.

However, it remains uncertain how many voters, whose preferred candidates withdrew to support others against the RN, will participate in Sunday's runoff.