The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) kickstarted the low repo rate cycle on 7 February 2025 with a 25-basis points rate cut. In the coming weeks and months, it is expected to bring down the interest rates slowly but steadily, keeping in mind global macro-economic situations. For Fixed Deposit (FD) investors, this means that the attractive FD rates seen in recent months may not last indefinitely. This raises an important question: Should investors rethink their strategy and explore alternatives such as debt mutual funds and bonds?
Who Should Stick to FDs?
Depending on whom you are talking to, you may find FDs to be much maligned or right up on a pedestal. Nevertheless, FDs continue to be a reliable investment option that offers a combination of returns and capital protection. There are clear-cut instances where it is smarter to invest in an FD over any other financial instrument. Here are five situations where you should continue investing in FDs:
Capital protection is a priority: No one can afford to always take the same amount of risk for every investment. Investments that are exposed to market volatility may not be always appropriate. Bank FDs offer assured returns, making them ideal low risk-moderate return investments.
You need stable and predictable returns: Market-linked instruments may give you higher returns over time, but you cannot predict how much that will finally amount to. Unlike these, FDs provide a guaranteed interest rate, unaffected by market fluctuations. So, if you are looking to accumulate a certain amount of money within a fixed time, FDs are a better bet.
You need funds for short-term goals: Macro-economic trends indicate a volatile couple of years. Even otherwise, market cycles tend to be long. If you require liquidity within 1-3 years, short-term FDs can be a safer bet than debt funds, which are expected to see price fluctuations in the near future.
You fall in a lower tax bracket: Since FD interest is taxed at your income tax slab, if you are in the lower tax brackets, your tax liability may be much lower and your overall returns from FDs may be higher.
You do not want to track the market: The terms and conditions of the FD does not change during the deposit period even if the markets turn or the repo rate increases or decreases. So FDs require minimal monitoring.
Who Should Consider Alternatives?
There are several reasons to explore alternatives to FDs. If you have a long investment window, you be better off with equity funds that give you a much higher inflation-proof returns. The taxation on these is also a flat 12.5% on gains of above Rs.1.25L in a year. FDs on the other hand will be taxed as per your income tax slab.
Unlike FDs, where premature withdrawals incur penalties, debt funds allow easy redemption with little to no exit load after a few months. This comes in handy if you need additional liquidity but are unable to anticipate in advance exactly when you would need it. Finally, if you are looking for diversification, holding a mix of FDs, bonds, and debt and index funds can help balance safety, liquidity, and returns in your portfolio.
What Should You Do Post-MPC?
With rates expected to fall, stick to short-term FDs for stability if you have an investment window of 2-3 years or less. If you are looking at 3–5-year investments, consider a mix of FDs and high-rated corporate bonds to get stability and slightly better returns. Look to equity for long-term investments of over 5 years as they could offer much higher returns and be more tax-efficient, especially in high-income tax brackets.
If you are a risk-averse senior citizen, special senior citizen FD schemes offering higher interest rates (7.5%–8%) remain an attractive option.
Conclusion
While FDs remain a safe and simple investment, if you are looking for higher diversity and flexibility, you may want to consider debt mutual funds and bonds. The MPC’s steady interest rate decision gives investors a window to lock in FD rates before potential cuts in the future. However, for those seeking higher inflation-adjusted returns, diversifying into debt funds and bonds may be a prudent strategy. Ultimately, the right choice depends on your financial goals, tax situation, and risk tolerance.