
Shortly after Hurricane Beryl caused havoc in the Caribbean and left millions in Texas without power, the National Hurricane Centre is eying a tropical wave in the central Atlantic. This wave could develop into a tropical storm within the week and impact Florida.
On Tuesday morning (July 30), the National Hurricane Centre predicted the chances of the disturbance becoming a depression to 60% over the next week. However, the NHC had previously given it no chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next two days.
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Forecasters noted that the system might encounter more favourable conditions in the next two days, potentially leading to some development as it moves near Puerto Rico, Haiti, and the Bahamas.
Since the system is still developing and not fully structured, global computer models are not as effective in predicting its potential path compared to well-established tropical storms and hurricanes with clear centers.
Even so, initial model forecasts suggest that the system may approach Florida and the Bahamas over the weekend. Craig Setzer, chief meteorologist for Royal Caribbean Group, wrote on X, “Keep monitoring daily updates because no one should ever say in a situation like this ‘we’re good, no need to check it anymore.’”
Meteorologists are still expecting a very active hurricane season, despite a short calm following Beryl. The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be highly dangerous.
Beryl set new records, becoming the earliest Category 5 hurricane in history. After it hit the Texas coast, experts from Colorado State University increased their forecast to 12 hurricanes and 25 storms for the season.
(With inputs from agencies)