Published: Mar 20, 2026, 09:30 IST | Updated: Mar 20, 2026, 09:30 IST
Moody's Analytics warns that the conflict in Iran has increased the risk of a U.S. recession to nearly 50% due to soaring oil prices and a weakening labor market. The surge in energy costs, driven by potential disruptions to oil shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, is expected to trigger a significant drop in consumer spending, making a downturn increasingly difficult to avoid.