Exit Poll 2024: How accurate were the predictions in 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections
Exit polls predict BJP opening account in Kerala, DMK-led alliance dominating Tamil Nadu
As the seventh and final phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections concluded on Saturday (June 1), the exit polls took centre stage indicating what the people of the world's biggest democracy chose while exercising their franchise.
The exit poll projections are a post-election survey that predicts the anticipated winners and their victory margin. The predictions are based on voter feedback collected by survey agencies after the polling.
The actual result of the elections held in all 543 parliamentary seats will be declared on June 4 by the Election Commission of India.
As the exit polls predict what's in store for the country's future in the coming years, let's find out if these projections could figure out who would emerge victorious in the previous elections.
What did the exit poll projections say in 2014?
In the Lok Sabha Elections 2014, the BJP-led NDA was estimated to win around 257-340 seats. The NDA won 336 seats.
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Exit poll projections for NDA
- Exit polls predicted 272 seats for the NDA
- News 24-Chanakya predicted 340 seats
- CNN-IBN-CSDS predicted 280 seats
- Times Now ORG predicted 249 seats
- ABP News-Nielsen predicted 274 seats
Also read:In U-turn, INDIA leaders to participate in exit poll debates; Kharge claims bloc will win 295+ seats
UPA
- India Today-Cicero predicted 115 seats for the UPA
- News 24-Chanakya predicted 101 seats
- CNN-IBN-CSDS predicted 97 seats
- Times Now ORG predicted 148 seats
- ABP News-Nielsen predicted 97 seats
Exit poll projections in 2019
In the Lok Sabha Elections 2019, pollsters had predicted around 285 seats for the NDA. However, the BJP-led alliance won a landslide victory by winning 353 seats, with the BJP alone securing 303 seats. The Congress won 52 seats, and its United Progressive Alliance won 91 seats.
NDA
- India Today-Axis predicted 339-365 seats
- News 24-Today's Chanakya predicted 350 seats
- News18-IPSOS predicted 336 seats
- Times Now VMR predicted 306 seats
- India TV-CNX predicted 300 seats
- Sudarshan News predicted 305 seats
UPA
- India Today-Axis predicted 77-108 seats
- News 24-Today's Chanakya predicted 95 seats
- News18-IPSOS predicted 82 seats
- Times Now VMR predicted 132 seats
- India TV-CNX predicted 120 seats
- Sudarshan News predicted 124 seats
What do the predictions say for the 2024 Lok Sabha polls?
NDA
- Jan Ki Baat predicts 362-392 seats
- D-Dynamics: 371
- News Nation: 342-378
- Dainik Bhaskar: 281-350
INDIA
- Jan Ki Baat: 141-161
- D-Dynamics: 125
- News Nation: 153-169
- Dainik Bhaskar: 145-201
(With inputs from agencies)