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Iran announced on Friday that the Strait of Hormuz is open to all ships following the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire deal. If the deal holds, it will release millions of barrels of crude oil and gas trapped in the Persian Gulf. However, tanker owners and oil dealers have reacted cautiously to the reopening announcement.

Majority of Ship Owners & Traders: Deal Lacks Details

The cost of the West Asia conflict on heavily sanctioned Iran’s already faltering economy is estimated to be much more than the U.S. and Israel put together. Hopes of an extension to the ceasefire and a second round of talks between the U.S. and Iran have helped markets recoup the severe losses from the war month. But for the Islamic Republic, recovery requires heavy rebuilding efforts and funding. We decode that and more in this next report.

Iran War: Estimates Put Iran's Cost of War at $100 Bn

Investors in the Indian stock market breathed a massive sigh of relief this week. Equities shook off recent jitters as geopolitical clouds began to part. Investors, who had been on edge due to tensions in West Asia, found reasons to cheer, as talks of a ceasefire and potential diplomacy between the U.S. and Iran injected a fresh dose of risk-on sentiment into markets.

What Moved Indian Markets This Week? 

The global market rally was triggered after Strait of Hormuz would remain open during a 10-day ceasefire. This is critical, as the route carries nearly 20 percent of global oil supplies.

Global Markets Cheer Hormuz Reopening Announcement

Inflation in Argentina has come in higher than expected for March, as the global energy shock triggered by the ongoing West Asia conflict feeds into domestic prices. Rising fuel costs, transport expenses, and education fees are adding fresh pressure on households, even as policymakers signal a possible slowdown in the months ahead.

Argentina Inflation Rises on Energy Shock

The economic cost of the tensions in West Asia has sent a ripple through global energy markets, with liquefied petroleum gas, or LPG, supply disruptions emerging as a key concern. Indian government officials estimate that restoring LPG supply chains fully could take up to three to four years, which explains why the energy sector faces uncertainty.


How West Asia Conflict Affects India

The probability of an April rate hike by major global central banks looks unlikely. But for the European Central Bank, markets are pricing a 0.25 percent hike by June and at least one more later in 2026.

Central Bank Policy Will Depend on Oil Price 

The ongoing conflict in West Asia is now rippling through global industries, disrupting fuel supplies and pushing up energy costs. From transport to manufacturing, countries across Asia are being forced to adapt quickly as the Strait of Hormuz remains under strain.

West Asia Crisis Disrupts Global Supply Chains 

Beef prices in the U.S. continue to rise sharply, even as some other food staples ease.
Ground beef and steak prices are now up nearly 16 percent from a year ago.

US Grocery Bills Rise as Beef Costs Climb

Rising geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are accelerating a strategic shift in regional trade and energy routes.
Reports suggest China and Pakistan increasingly turning to Central Asia as an alternative corridor.


Hormuz Crisis: Hormuz Risk Drives New Asia Trade Corridors

Rising tensions in West Asia are now hitting American farms hard.
As the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, fertiliser supplies are shrinking and prices are soaring, right in the middle of the crucial spring planting season.
Farmers across the United States are now facing higher costs, delayed deliveries and tough decisions that could impact crop yields and food prices.

 Hormuz Crisis: West Asia Tensions Hurt US Agriculture 

To understand the market thinking on the war requires an understanding that markets are cold-hearted.
The fact that negotiations broke down over the weekend is important.
But it's not the dominant input for markets.
Market moves were positive even before the latest push for another round of peace talks.

Markets: Plenty of Optimism Priced in 

The U.S. Treasury Department confirmed it will not extend the temporary sanctions waiver that permitted the sale of Iranian oil at sea, with the exemption set to expire on April 19.

US-Iran War: US Will Not Renew Waiver on Iranian Oil

Pakistan is facing a severe financial crisis, scrambling to secure aid to repay a $3.5 billion debt to the UAE, with Saudi Arabia and Qatar pledging $5 billion in support. The country is navigating record inflation, low foreign reserves, and high debt servicing. Additionally, historical climate disasters have necessitated external humanitarian relief. 


Pakistan in Talks for $3.5 Bn Support Package

India has been navigating the global energy crisis carefully. While prices at the pump have gone up for several citizens around the world, India has shielded consumers from rising fuel costs while promising to maintain fiscal discipline. 


How India is Navigating Its Energy Crisis

The Iran conflict is rapidly turning into a defining macroeconomic event. Oil prices are surging, inflation risks are resurfacing, and central banks that were preparing to cut rates are now being forced to rethink their strategy.


War Shock: Markets Brace for Tough Outcomes

The global oil market is on edge as Donald Trump proposes a potential blockade targeting Iranian oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The move could disrupt nearly 1.7 to 2 million barrels per day of Iranian exports, tightening an already constrained global supply.


Tanker Chaos Unfolds in Hormuz Corridor

The global economy is in the midst of a critical setback as the Iran conflict delivers a third major shock after the covid-19 and the Ukraine war. Finance leaders gathering in Washington this week are now bracing for slower growth and higher inflation.


Global Finance Leaders to Meet Amid War Shock

What started as an energy shock is spiralling into the global food system. Fuel prices usually correct following diplomatic developments around Iran, but fertiliser markets continue to remain under stress.
The big question… are we heading toward the next food inflation cycle?

Fertiliser Spike Signals Incoming Food Inflation

Global industries are bracing for a major supply shock as China prepares to halt sulphuric acid exports from May. Prices have already surged sharply, with sulphur rising nearly 70% and sulphuric acid witnessing massive spikes even before the West Asia crisis escalated. The disruption is expected to hit key sectors like fertilizers, chemicals, and manufacturing, raising concerns over costs, supply chains, and global production stability.


Sulphur Shock Disrupts Global Metals Pipeline

The United Kingdom cut debt after the Napoleonic wars so it had the fiscal firepower to fight subsequent battles. But today’s superpower struggle between the United States and China, and the conflicts in Iran and Ukraine, are occurring when government borrowing across the world is already high.
Governments are spending more on defence and cutting their reliance on rivals in response to global threats. That is pushing ​up debt relative to GDP, limiting their ability to project power. Borrowing costs have also shot up. The yield on 10-year U.S. government bonds has almost trebled to 4.3% over the past five years.

The Invisible Tax: How War Raises Every Price

The global wealth gap is widening at an alarming pace, with inequality deepening as a massive $4 trillion financing gap emerges. At the same time, global aid has dropped by 23% in 2025—the largest decline on record—leaving vulnerable economies under increasing strain. The combined impact is raising concerns about long-term development, poverty reduction, and economic stability across the world.


Global Inequality Widens as Financing Gap Hits $4 Trillion

Oil markets are currently reflecting heightened concern over supply flows. But what are markets betting on in the long-term? Futures prices have shifted into backwardation, a structure where near-term oil prices are higher than future contracts. This typically signals immediate supply tightness or fears of disruption in physical crude availability.


Hormuz Fallout: What Are Oil Futures Predicting? 

Amid a global stock rout linked to the Iran war, prediction markets are under intense scrutiny.
Series of highly specific and well-timed bets are raising serious concerns about potential access to non-public information and insider trading.

Event Contracts Blur Line Between Betting & Trading 

To understand what’s at stake in the Iran conflict, we have to look beyond oil, and into the currency that powers global trade. For decades, the US Dollar has dominated energy markets. But now, with Yuan payments emerging in key routes like the Strait of Hormuz, a gradual shift toward a more multipolar financial world may be underway… Around 80 percent of global oil trade is still settled in dollars, reinforcing its dominance over international commerce.

Dollar Hegemony Faces New Geopolitical Test

The Iran fallout is now being felt across Europe, with energy markets reacting sharply to supply risks in the Gulf. Europe relies on the region for a significant share of its energy needs, including nearly half of its jet fuel.
That exposure is now pushing costs sharply higher. Jet fuel prices have more than doubled to record levels, forcing airlines to cut flights and raise fares, especially on long-haul routes.

Gulf Conflict Hits Europe’s Energy Supply