TNS, YouGov polls give Brexit lead of 3 percentage points

London Updated: Jun 14, 2016, 02:34 AM(IST)

Illustration picture of postal ballot papers June 1, 2016 ahead of the June 23 BREXIT referendum when voters will decide whether Britain will remain in the European Union. Photograph:( Reuters )

British support for leaving the European Union (EU) in a June 23 referendum has risen, giving the Out campaign a lead of two to four percentage points, according to opinion polls by Taylor Nelson Sofres (TNS), a market research and market information group, and YouGov, an international internet-based market research firm.

A YouGov online poll of 3,495 people for ITV's Good Morning Britain showed 45 per cent would opt to leave the EU, while 41 per cent would opt to stay. Over 11 per cent of voters were undecided. The poll was carried out from June 1 to June 3.

A TNS online poll of 1,213 people showed 43 per cent would vote to leave, 41 per cent would vote to stay and 16 per cent were undecided. The TNS poll was carried out from May 19 to May 23,  but was adjusted for turnout.

Sterling fell one per cent against the dollar to hit a three-week low today, while the cost of hedging against swings over the coming month traded at its highest since early 2009 on growing concerns over whether Britain will stay in the European Union.

Against the dollar, sterling was one per cent lower at $1.4370, having fallen to $1.4352 GBP=D4 in early Asian trading, its lowest in three weeks. The euro was 0.75 per cent higher at 78.95 pence EURGBP=D4.

Sterling fell sharply last Tuesday when both an online and a telephone poll for ICM showed a three-percentage-point lead for the "Leave" campaign.
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