A Timeline: Why Vladimir Putin’s Russia wants Ukraine? 

Aug 19, 2023, 12:31 IST

Mukul Sharma

More than 18 months have passed since the beginning of the war in Ukraine.  Russia, despite significant territorial gains, is refusing to back down.  So why does Vladimir Putin’s Russia want Ukraine? The answer lies in history, and its intersection with changed realities of present. 

The 9th century state of Kievan Rus 

The region mostly consistent with present-day Ukraine, Belarus, and parts of Russia, was ruled by Grand Prince Volodimer. In Russian, it was Vladimir. In Ukrainian, it was called Volodymyr. See the coincidental cast from past more than a millennium later. These are the names of Russian and Ukrainian leaders at present. 

A lot changed during centuries that followed 

For most of these centuries until 20th century — except for a brief period in 16th century and pre-first world war years — Ukraine remained mostly within Moscow’s territorial sphere of influence. 

Russification of Ukraine 

In the 17th century, the Empress of Russia, Catherine the Great, shipped Russians to Ukraine to populate the region with ethnic Russians. The Ukrainian language was banned from schools and official dispatches. In 1930, Russian leader Joseph Stalin facilitated a famine in Ukraine in which millions of Ukrainians were killed in Ukraine’s east. The East of Ukraine was then populated with ethnic Russians. 

Pro-Russia sentiment in parts of Ukraine 

The east of Ukraine, which now forms internationally-unrecognised states of Donetsk and Luhansk (Donbas), at different points of time in history was consciously populated with ethnic Russians at Moscow’s command. As ethnic Russians scattered across Ukraine from the country’s East, they took with them the ‘shared Russian heritage’ as well as pro-Moscow sentiment. 

 Ukraine was part of Soviet Union in 20th century 

After Moscow, Kyiv was the most powerful capital among all 15 Soviet Republics in the 20th century. It had a flourishing defence industry, productive farmlands and hosted significant chunk of Soviet nuclear arsenal. 

The collapse of Soviet Union

Ukraine became independent in 1991 and so did Russia with the collapse of Soviet Union. Ukraine, in 1994, gave up the nuclear warheads it inherited from Soviet Union. In exchange, Russia promised to respect Ukrainian sovereignty under Budapest Agreement signed in December 1994. 

2013: Ukraine under Viktor Yanukovych 

President Yanukovych, deemed a pro-Russian Ukrainian leader, rejected a trade deal with the European Union which would have brought Ukraine quite within the EU umbrella. Instead, Yanukovych took a $15 billion economic bailout from Russia. 

Feb 2014: Yanukovych’s government toppled 

In February 2014, Yanukovych fled to Russia. Petro Poroshenko became president in elections held in May 2014. But many in Ukraine’s Russian-speaking east, in the Donbas region, wanted Yanukovych to hold on to power in Kyiv. 

March 2014: Russia annexed Crimea 

In Feb-March 2014, Russia annexed Crimea. In March 2014, a Moscow-led referendum declared Crimea as part of Russia. Historically, the region of Crimea, in 1954, was transferred by Moscow to the erstwhile Ukrainian Soviet Republic to ‘strengthen Soviet brotherhood’. Crimea chose to stay with Ukraine even after the USSR’s dissolution. Many in Russia wanted Crimea to join Russia instead. 

April 2014: Separatists launch offensive in Donbas region

The region mostly consistent with present-day Ukraine, Belarus, and parts of Russia, was ruled by Grand Prince Volodimer. In Russian, it was Vladimir. In Ukrainian, it was called Volodymyr. See the coincidental cast from past more than a millennium later. These are the names of Russian and Ukrainian leaders at present. 

Russian soldiers joined separatists in Donbas region

As Kyiv began its all-out operations to eliminate the separatists from Donbas region in the second half of 2014, Russian military intervened. Later, after many rounds of talks between Russia, Ukraine and the West, Minsk Agreements were signed late in September 2014. 

What were the Minsk Agreements about?

Under Minsk Agreements, Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire, withdrawal of their troops and elections in the separatist-held Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The Minsk Agreements remain unimplemented since 2014. Moscow justifies war in Ukraine partly because Minsk agreements were never implemented by Kyiv. 

What does Vladimir Putin want?

Putin wants US-led NATO to stop expanding and opposes any signs of Ukraine joining the US-led military alliance saying it will bring the NATO to Russian borders. Ukraine wants to join NATO but Putin wants NATO to exclude each of the former Soviet states from its expansionist radar.   

War in Ukraine continues

Putin announced a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine in February 2022, and invaded the region for Ukraine’s purported ‘demilitarisation and denazification’. More than 18 months on, the war continues with no signs of cessation of violence from either side. 

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